
EDAB/NEFSC
13-15 January 2025
Ecosystem indicators linked to management objectives (DePiper et al., 2017)
Open science emphasis (Bastille et al., 2020)
Used within Mid-Atlantic Fishery Management Council’s Ecosystem Process (Muffley et al., 2020)

The IEA Loop1
The SOE provides information at the ecosystem level

Ecosystem and Socioeconomic Profiles (ESPs) provide information at the stock level
Ecosystem and Socioeconomic Profiles support fisheries science and management by providing additional context that can help inform the development of the stock assessment model, as well as by communicating contextual information to fisheries managers.





Objective Categories | Indicators reported |
|---|---|
Performance Metrics | |
Seafood Production | Landings; commercial total and by feeding guild; recreational harvest |
Profits | Revenue decomposed to price and volume |
Recreation | Angler trips; recreational fleet diversity |
Stability | Diversity indices (fishery and ecosystem) |
Social & Cultural | Community engagement/reliance and environmental justice status |
Protected Species | Bycatch; population (adult and juvenile) numbers, mortalities |
Drivers of Performance | |
Biomass | Biomass or abundance by feeding guild from surveys |
Productivity | Condition and recruitment of managed species, primary productivity |
Trophic structure | Relative biomass of feeding guilds, zooplankton |
Habitat | Estuarine and offshore habitat conditions |
Risks to Meeting Objectives | |
Risks to Managing Spatially | Fish and cetacean distribution shifts |
Risks to Managing Seasonally | Spawning and migration timing |
Risks to Setting Catch Limits | Fish condition and recruitment |
Other Ocean Uses | Fishery revenue and landings from wind lease areas by species and port |
Drivers of Risks | |
Habitat and prey quality | Benthic and pelagic forage distribution; ocean temperature; changes in currents and cold pool |
Phenology | Habitat timing: length of ocean summer, cold pool seasonal persistence |
Drivers of productivity | Benthic and pelagic forage quality and abundance; ocean temperature and acidification |
Other Ocean Uses | Wind development map; protected species presence and hotspots |
Characterizing ecosystem change for fishery management – how do we synthesize multiple indicators to explain ecosystem dynamics?



A glossary of terms (2021 Memo 5), detailed technical methods documentation and indicator data are available online.
Key to figures

Long-term trends assessed only for 30+ years: more information
Short-term trends assessed for last 10 years of data OR a full time series <30 years
Orange line = significant increase
Purple line = significant decrease
No color line = not significant or < 30 years
Grey background = last 10 years

All participants:
This meeting, Jan 13-15
Group edit, Jan 16-26
Lead editors:
Internal review, Feb 2-13
Document public: March
SSC and Council presentations: March-June
NOAA IR: May
These are the basis of 2026–discuss what to change
Performance relative to management objectives
Seafood production
, 
Profits
, 
Recreational opportunities: Effort
Effort diversity

Stability: Fishery not stable; Ecological not stable
Social and cultural:
Fishing engagement and social vulnerability status by community
Revenue climate vulnerability
, majority high risk
Protected species:
Maintain bycatch below thresholds (harbor porpoise, gray seals)

Recover endangered populations (NARW)


Risks to meeting fishery management objectives
Climate: risks to managing spatially, managing seasonally, and catch specification
Fish and protected species distribution shifts
Changing spawning and migration timing
Multiple stocks with poor condition, declining productivity
Other ocean uses: offshore wind development

Performance relative to management objectives - Georges Bank
Seafood production Total
, Managed
, Both 
Profits
, 
Recreational opportunities: Effort
Effort diversity

Stability: Fishery not stable; Ecological not stable
Social and cultural:
Fishing engagement and social vulnerability status by community
Revenue climate vulnerability
, majority medium risk
Protected species:
Maintain bycatch below thresholds (harbor porpoise, gray seals)

Recover endangered populations
, NARW
Gray seal 

Performance relative to management objectives - Gulf of Maine
Seafood production
, 
Profits Total
,
; NEFMC managed
, 
Recreational opportunities: Effort
Effort diversity

Stability: Fishery not stable; Ecological not stable
Social and cultural:
Fishing engagement and social vulnerability status by community
Revenue climate vulnerability
, majority medium risk
Protected species:
Maintain bycatch below thresholds (harbor porpoise, gray seals)

Recover endangered populations
, NARW
Gray seal
Salmon 

Risks to meeting fishery management objectives
Climate: risks to managing spatially, managing seasonally, and catch specification
Fish and protected species distribution shifts
Changing spawning and migration timing
Multiple stocks with poor condition, declining productivity
Other ocean uses: offshore wind development

Notable 2024 events and conditions
2024 warmest year on record globally. Again.
BUT
Cooler conditions across the coast
Well established Mid Atlantic Cold Pool
Multiple summer upwelling events off NJ
Extreme ocean acidification measured off NJ
Many fishery observations of different spatial and timing patterns, changed abundance
Good scallop recruitment in Nantucket lightship
More red drum in Chesapeake Bay
Arctic copepods in GOM
Cocolithophore bloom off NY
Large whale aggregations
We welcome your observations! northeast.ecosystem.highlights@noaa.gov

Indicators: Commercial landings, climate risk


Indicators: Recreational harvest


Multiple potential drivers: ecosystem and stock production, management, market conditions, and environmental change.
Indicator: Stock status


Indicators: Total ABC or ACL, and Realized catch relative to management target

Catch near limits on average
Biomass does not appear to drive landings trends


Monitor:
climate risks including warming, ocean acidification, and shifting distributions
ecosystem composition and production changes
fishing engagement
Indicators: Commercial landings, climate risk

Multiple drivers: ecosystem and stock production, management actions (stock rebuilding), market conditions (including COVID-19 disruptions), and environmental change
Indicators: Recreational harvest


Indicator: Stock status

GB Haddock & Plaice now have B/Bmsy >1. GOM Haddock now has F/Fmsy < 1. Stock status and required management actions still likely playing large role in seafood declines.
Indicators: Survey biomass


Biomass availability still seems unlikely driver
Drivers:
Monitor:


Indicator: Commercial Revenue; profit indicators under SSC review


Indicator: Bennet–price and volume indices


Indicator: Commercial Revenue; profit indicators under SSC review


Both regions dependent on single climate-vulnerable species
Indicator: Bennet–price and volume indices

GOM high revenue despite low volume
Indicators: Recreational effort and fleet diversity


Implications
Adding 2023 data, recreational effort (angler trips) retains the long term increase.
The increasing long term trend changed the risk category for the RecValue element back to low-moderate (previously ranked low risk).
New risk element: Decline in recreational fleet diversity suggests a potentially reduced range of opportunities.
Driven by party/charter contraction and a shift toward shore based angling.
Indicators: Recreational effort and fleet diversity


Implications
Fishery Indicators: Commercial fleet count, fleet diversity

Fishery Indicators: commercial species revenue diversity, recreational species catch diversity


Fishery Indicators: Commercial fleet count, fleet diversity

Fishery Implications:
Fishery Indicators: commercial species revenue diversity, recreational species catch diversity


How could crew survey information be integrated into fisheries stability analyses?
Ecological Indicators: zooplankton communities and total primary production



Ecological Indicators: fish richness and traits


Ecological Indicators: zooplankton communities and total primary production



Ecological Indicators: fish richness and traits


Indicators: Commercial fishery engagement, social vulnerability, revenue climate vulnerability

Community | personal_disruption_rank | pop_composition_rank | poverty_rank |
|---|---|---|---|
Ocean City,MD | 2 | 1 | 1 |
Barnegat Light,NJ | 1 | 1 | 1 |
Cape May,NJ | 1 | 1 | 1 |
Point Pleasant Beach,NJ | 1 | 1 | 1 |
Brick,NJ | 1 | 1 | 1 |
Hampton Bays/Shinnecock,NY | 1 | 3 | 1 |
Montauk,NY | 1 | 1 | 1 |
Newport News,VA | 2 | 3 | 2 |
Indicators: Commercial fishery revenue climate vulnerability

The Community Climate Change Risk Indicators are calculated by multiplying the percent contribution of species to the total value landed in a community by their respective Total Vulnerability scores (based on NOAA’s Climate Vulnerability Assessment) for different sensitivity and exposure factors and then summing the resulting values by year.

Indicators: Recreational fishery engagement, social vulnerability

Community | personal_disruption_rank | pop_composition_rank | poverty_rank |
|---|---|---|---|
Bivalve, MD | low | med | |
Nanticoke, MD | med high | low | low |
Ocean City, MD | med | low | low |
Stevensville, MD | low | low | low |
Solomons Island/Solomons/Lusby, MD | low | low | low |
Avon, NC | med high | low | |
Morehead City, NC | med | low | med high |
Nags Head, NC | low | low | low |
Rodanthe, NC | low | low | low |
Topsail Beach, NC | low | low | low |
Hatteras township, NC | low | low | low |
Atlantic Highlands, NJ | low | low | low |
Barnegat Light, NJ | low | low | low |
Cape May, NJ | low | low | low |
Point Pleasant Beach, NJ | low | low | low |
Babylon, NY | low | low | low |
Montauk, NY | low | low | low |
Orient, NY | low | low | low |
Point Lookout, NY | med | low | low |
Virginia Beach, VA | low | med | low |
Wachapreague, VA | low | low | low |
Cape May, NJ | |||
Montauk, NY | |||
Point Pleasant Beach, NJ | |||
Barnegat Light, NJ | |||
Ocean City, MD | |||
Virginia Beach, VA | |||
Morehead City, NC | |||
Hatteras township, NC | |||
Wachapreague, VA | |||
Avon, NC | |||
Atlantic Highlands, NJ | |||
Babylon, NY | |||
Nags Head, NC | |||
Point Lookout, NY | |||
Nanticoke, MD | |||
Orient, NY | |||
Bivalve, MD | |||
Rodanthe, NC | |||
Topsail Beach, NC | |||
Solomons Island/Solomons/Lusby, MD | |||
Stevensville, MD | |||
ATLANTIC HIGHLANDS, NJ | |||
BABYLON, NY | |||
BARNEGAT LIGHT, NJ | |||
CAPE MAY, NJ | |||
MONTAUK, NY | |||
NANTICOKE, MD | |||
OCEAN CITY, MD | |||
ORIENT, NY | |||
POINT LOOKOUT, NY | |||
POINT PLEASANT BEACH, NJ | |||
VIRGINIA BEACH, VA | |||
WACHAPREAGUE, VA | |||
ATLANTIC HIGHLANDS, NJ | |||
BABYLON, NY | |||
BARNEGAT LIGHT, NJ | |||
CAPE MAY, NJ | |||
MONTAUK, NY | |||
NANTICOKE, MD | |||
OCEAN CITY, MD | |||
ORIENT, NY | |||
POINT LOOKOUT, NY | |||
POINT PLEASANT BEACH, NJ | |||
STEVENSVILLE, MD | |||
VIRGINIA BEACH, VA | |||
WACHAPREAGUE, VA | |||
ATLANTIC HIGHLANDS, NJ | |||
BABYLON, NY | |||
BARNEGAT LIGHT, NJ | |||
CAPE MAY, NJ | |||
MONTAUK, NY | |||
NANTICOKE, MD | |||
OCEAN CITY, MD | |||
ORIENT, NY | |||
POINT LOOKOUT, NY | |||
POINT PLEASANT BEACH, NJ | |||
VIRGINIA BEACH, VA | |||
WACHAPREAGUE, VA | |||
ATLANTIC HIGHLANDS, NJ | |||
BABYLON, NY | |||
BARNEGAT LIGHT, NJ | |||
CAPE MAY, NJ | |||
MONTAUK, NY | |||
NANTICOKE, MD | |||
OCEAN CITY, MD | |||
ORIENT, NY | |||
POINT LOOKOUT, NY | |||
POINT PLEASANT BEACH, NJ | |||
VIRGINIA BEACH, VA | |||
WACHAPREAGUE, VA | |||
ATLANTIC HIGHLANDS, NJ | |||
BABYLON, NY | |||
BARNEGAT LIGHT, NJ | |||
CAPE MAY, NJ | |||
MONTAUK, NY | |||
NANTICOKE, MD | |||
OCEAN CITY, MD | |||
ORIENT, NY | |||
POINT LOOKOUT, NY | |||
POINT PLEASANT BEACH, NJ | |||
VIRGINIA BEACH, VA | |||
WACHAPREAGUE, VA | |||
ATLANTIC HIGHLANDS, NJ | |||
BABYLON, NY | |||
BARNEGAT LIGHT, NJ | |||
CAPE MAY, NJ | |||
MONTAUK, NY | |||
NANTICOKE, MD | |||
OCEAN CITY, MD | |||
ORIENT, NY | |||
POINT LOOKOUT, NY | |||
POINT PLEASANT BEACH, NJ | |||
VIRGINIA BEACH, VA | |||
WACHAPREAGUE, VA | |||
ATLANTIC HIGHLANDS, NJ | |||
BABYLON, NY | |||
BARNEGAT LIGHT, NJ | |||
CAPE MAY, NJ | |||
MONTAUK, NY | |||
NANTICOKE, MD | |||
OCEAN CITY, MD | |||
ORIENT, NY | |||
POINT LOOKOUT, NY | |||
POINT PLEASANT BEACH, NJ | |||
VIRGINIA BEACH, VA | |||
WACHAPREAGUE, VA | |||
ATLANTIC HIGHLANDS, NJ | |||
BABYLON, NY | |||
BARNEGAT LIGHT, NJ | |||
CAPE MAY, NJ | |||
MONTAUK, NY | |||
NANTICOKE, MD | |||
OCEAN CITY, MD | |||
ORIENT, NY | |||
POINT LOOKOUT, NY | |||
POINT PLEASANT BEACH, NJ | |||
VIRGINIA BEACH, VA | |||
WACHAPREAGUE, VA | |||
ATLANTIC HIGHLANDS, NJ | |||
BABYLON, NY | |||
BARNEGAT LIGHT, NJ | |||
CAPE MAY, NJ | |||
MONTAUK, NY | |||
NANTICOKE, MD | |||
OCEAN CITY, MD | |||
ORIENT, NY | |||
POINT LOOKOUT, NY | |||
POINT PLEASANT BEACH, NJ | |||
STEVENSVILLE, MD | |||
VIRGINIA BEACH, VA | |||
WACHAPREAGUE, VA | |||
ATLANTIC HIGHLANDS, NJ | |||
BABYLON, NY | |||
BARNEGAT LIGHT, NJ | |||
CAPE MAY, NJ | |||
MONTAUK, NY | |||
NANTICOKE, MD | |||
OCEAN CITY, MD | |||
ORIENT, NY | |||
POINT LOOKOUT, NY | |||
POINT PLEASANT BEACH, NJ | |||
STEVENSVILLE, MD | |||
VIRGINIA BEACH, VA | |||
WACHAPREAGUE, VA | |||
ATLANTIC HIGHLANDS, NJ | |||
BABYLON, NY | |||
BARNEGAT LIGHT, NJ | |||
CAPE MAY, NJ | |||
MONTAUK, NY | |||
NANTICOKE, MD | |||
OCEAN CITY, MD | |||
ORIENT, NY | |||
POINT LOOKOUT, NY | |||
POINT PLEASANT BEACH, NJ | |||
STEVENSVILLE, MD | |||
VIRGINIA BEACH, VA | |||
WACHAPREAGUE, VA | |||
ATLANTIC HIGHLANDS, NJ | |||
BABYLON, NY | |||
BARNEGAT LIGHT, NJ | |||
CAPE MAY, NJ | |||
MONTAUK, NY | |||
NANTICOKE, MD | |||
OCEAN CITY, MD | |||
ORIENT, NY | |||
POINT LOOKOUT, NY | |||
POINT PLEASANT BEACH, NJ | |||
VIRGINIA BEACH, VA | |||
WACHAPREAGUE, VA | |||
ATLANTIC HIGHLANDS, NJ | |||
BABYLON, NY | |||
BARNEGAT LIGHT, NJ | |||
CAPE MAY, NJ | |||
MONTAUK, NY | |||
NANTICOKE, MD | |||
OCEAN CITY, MD | |||
ORIENT, NY | |||
POINT LOOKOUT, NY | |||
POINT PLEASANT BEACH, NJ | |||
STEVENSVILLE, MD | |||
VIRGINIA BEACH, VA | |||
WACHAPREAGUE, VA | |||
ATLANTIC HIGHLANDS, NJ | |||
BABYLON, NY | |||
BARNEGAT LIGHT, NJ | |||
CAPE MAY, NJ | |||
MONTAUK, NY | |||
NANTICOKE, MD | |||
OCEAN CITY, MD | |||
ORIENT, NY | |||
POINT LOOKOUT, NY | |||
POINT PLEASANT BEACH, NJ | |||
STEVENSVILLE, MD | |||
VIRGINIA BEACH, VA | |||
WACHAPREAGUE, VA | |||
ATLANTIC HIGHLANDS, NJ | |||
BABYLON, NY | |||
BARNEGAT LIGHT, NJ | |||
BIVALVE, MD | |||
CAPE MAY, NJ | |||
MONTAUK, NY | |||
NANTICOKE, MD | |||
OCEAN CITY, MD | |||
ORIENT, NY | |||
POINT LOOKOUT, NY | |||
POINT PLEASANT BEACH, NJ | |||
STEVENSVILLE, MD | |||
VIRGINIA BEACH, VA | |||
WACHAPREAGUE, VA | |||
ATLANTIC HIGHLANDS, NJ | |||
BABYLON, NY | |||
BARNEGAT LIGHT, NJ | |||
CAPE MAY, NJ | |||
MONTAUK, NY | |||
NANTICOKE, MD | |||
OCEAN CITY, MD | |||
ORIENT, NY | |||
POINT LOOKOUT, NY | |||
POINT PLEASANT BEACH, NJ | |||
STEVENSVILLE, MD | |||
VIRGINIA BEACH, VA | |||
WACHAPREAGUE, VA | |||
ATLANTIC HIGHLANDS, NJ | |||
BABYLON, NY | |||
BARNEGAT LIGHT, NJ | |||
CAPE MAY, NJ | |||
MONTAUK, NY | |||
NANTICOKE, MD | |||
OCEAN CITY, MD | |||
ORIENT, NY | |||
POINT LOOKOUT, NY | |||
POINT PLEASANT BEACH, NJ | |||
STEVENSVILLE, MD | |||
VIRGINIA BEACH, VA | |||
WACHAPREAGUE, VA | |||
ATLANTIC HIGHLANDS, NJ | |||
BABYLON, NY | |||
BARNEGAT LIGHT, NJ | |||
CAPE MAY, NJ | |||
MONTAUK, NY | |||
OCEAN CITY, MD | |||
ORIENT, NY | |||
POINT LOOKOUT, NY | |||
POINT PLEASANT BEACH, NJ | |||
VIRGINIA BEACH, VA | |||
WACHAPREAGUE, VA |
Indicators: Commercial fishery engagement, social vulnerability, revenue climate vulnerability

Community | personal_disruption_rank | pop_composition_rank | poverty_rank |
|---|---|---|---|
Chatham,MA | 1 | 1 | 1 |
Gloucester,MA | 1 | 1 | 2 |
New Bedford,MA | 4 | 3 | 3 |
Boston,MA | 2 | 3 | 3 |
Portland,ME | 1 | 1 | 1 |
Stonington,ME | 1 | 1 | 1 |
Friendship,ME | 1 | 1 | 1 |
Narragansett/Point Judith,RI | 1 | 1 | 1 |
Implications: Highlighted communities may be vulnerable to changes in fishing patterns due to regulations and/or climate change. When also experiencing social vulnerabilities, they may have lower ability to successfully respond to change.
Indicators: Commercial fishery revenue climate vulnerability

The Community Climate Change Risk Indicators are calculated by multiplying the percent contribution of species to the total value landed in a community by their respective Total Vulnerability scores (based on NOAA’s Climate Vulnerability Assessment) for different sensitivity and exposure factors and then summing the resulting values by year.
New England communities shifting towads High/Very High climate vulnerability. Consolidating Species

Indicators: Recreational fishery engagement, social vulnerability

Community | personal_disruption_rank | pop_composition_rank | poverty_rank |
|---|---|---|---|
Clinton, CT | med | low | med |
Old Saybrook, CT | low | low | low |
Waterford, CT | low | low | low |
Bourne, MA | low | low | low |
Dennis, MA | low | low | low |
Duxbury, MA | low | low | med |
Falmouth, MA | med | low | med high |
Gloucester, MA | low | low | med |
Harwich Port, MA | low | low | low |
Newburyport, MA | low | low | low |
Provincetown, MA | low | low | med high |
Barnstable Town, MA | low | low | low |
Sandwich/East Sandwich/Forestdale, MA | low | low | low |
Truro, MA | low | low | low |
Westport, MA | low | low | low |
Plymouth, MA | low | low | low |
Ogunquit, ME | low | low | low |
Hampton, NH | low | low | low |
Newington, NH | low | low | low |
Seabrook, NH | med | low | med |
Narragansett/Point Judith, RI | low | low | low |
New Shoreham, RI | med | low | low |
Narragansett/Point Judith, RI | |||
Gloucester, MA | |||
Newington, NH | |||
Barnstable Town, MA | |||
Westport, MA | |||
Plymouth, MA | |||
Hampton, NH | |||
Sandwich/East Sandwich/Forestdale, MA | |||
Provincetown, MA | |||
Seabrook, NH | |||
Duxbury, MA | |||
Harwich Port, MA | |||
Truro, MA | |||
Bourne, MA | |||
New Shoreham, RI | |||
Newburyport, MA | |||
Dennis, MA | |||
Falmouth, MA | |||
Ogunquit, ME | |||
Waterford, CT | |||
Old Saybrook, CT | |||
Clinton, CT | |||
BOURNE, MA | |||
CLINTON, CT | |||
DENNIS, MA | |||
DUXBURY, MA | |||
FALMOUTH, MA | |||
GLOUCESTER, MA | |||
HAMPTON, NH | |||
HARWICH PORT, MA | |||
NARRAGANSETT/POINT JUDITH, RI | |||
NEW SHOREHAM, RI | |||
NEWBURYPORT, MA | |||
NEWINGTON, NH | |||
OGUNQUIT, ME | |||
OLD SAYBROOK, CT | |||
PLYMOUTH, MA | |||
PROVINCETOWN, MA | |||
SEABROOK, NH | |||
TRURO, MA | |||
WATERFORD, CT | |||
WESTPORT, MA | |||
BOURNE, MA | |||
CLINTON, CT | |||
DENNIS, MA | |||
DUXBURY, MA | |||
FALMOUTH, MA | |||
GLOUCESTER, MA | |||
HAMPTON, NH | |||
HARWICH PORT, MA | |||
NARRAGANSETT/POINT JUDITH, RI | |||
NEW SHOREHAM, RI | |||
NEWBURYPORT, MA | |||
NEWINGTON, NH | |||
OGUNQUIT, ME | |||
OLD SAYBROOK, CT | |||
PLYMOUTH, MA | |||
PROVINCETOWN, MA | |||
SEABROOK, NH | |||
TRURO, MA | |||
WATERFORD, CT | |||
WESTPORT, MA | |||
BOURNE, MA | |||
CLINTON, CT | |||
DENNIS, MA | |||
DUXBURY, MA | |||
FALMOUTH, MA | |||
GLOUCESTER, MA | |||
HAMPTON, NH | |||
HARWICH PORT, MA | |||
NARRAGANSETT/POINT JUDITH, RI | |||
NEW SHOREHAM, RI | |||
NEWBURYPORT, MA | |||
NEWINGTON, NH | |||
OGUNQUIT, ME | |||
OLD SAYBROOK, CT | |||
PLYMOUTH, MA | |||
PROVINCETOWN, MA | |||
SEABROOK, NH | |||
TRURO, MA | |||
WATERFORD, CT | |||
WESTPORT, MA | |||
BOURNE, MA | |||
CLINTON, CT | |||
DENNIS, MA | |||
DUXBURY, MA | |||
FALMOUTH, MA | |||
GLOUCESTER, MA | |||
HAMPTON, NH | |||
HARWICH PORT, MA | |||
NARRAGANSETT/POINT JUDITH, RI | |||
NEW SHOREHAM, RI | |||
NEWBURYPORT, MA | |||
NEWINGTON, NH | |||
OGUNQUIT, ME | |||
OLD SAYBROOK, CT | |||
PLYMOUTH, MA | |||
PROVINCETOWN, MA | |||
SEABROOK, NH | |||
TRURO, MA | |||
WATERFORD, CT | |||
WESTPORT, MA | |||
BOURNE, MA | |||
CLINTON, CT | |||
DENNIS, MA | |||
DUXBURY, MA | |||
FALMOUTH, MA | |||
GLOUCESTER, MA | |||
HAMPTON, NH | |||
HARWICH PORT, MA | |||
NARRAGANSETT/POINT JUDITH, RI | |||
NEW SHOREHAM, RI | |||
NEWBURYPORT, MA | |||
NEWINGTON, NH | |||
OGUNQUIT, ME | |||
OLD SAYBROOK, CT | |||
PLYMOUTH, MA | |||
PROVINCETOWN, MA | |||
SEABROOK, NH | |||
TRURO, MA | |||
WATERFORD, CT | |||
WESTPORT, MA | |||
BOURNE, MA | |||
CLINTON, CT | |||
DENNIS, MA | |||
DUXBURY, MA | |||
FALMOUTH, MA | |||
GLOUCESTER, MA | |||
HAMPTON, NH | |||
HARWICH PORT, MA | |||
NARRAGANSETT/POINT JUDITH, RI | |||
NEW SHOREHAM, RI | |||
NEWBURYPORT, MA | |||
NEWINGTON, NH | |||
OGUNQUIT, ME | |||
OLD SAYBROOK, CT | |||
PLYMOUTH, MA | |||
PROVINCETOWN, MA | |||
SEABROOK, NH | |||
TRURO, MA | |||
WATERFORD, CT | |||
WESTPORT, MA | |||
BOURNE, MA | |||
CLINTON, CT | |||
DENNIS, MA | |||
DUXBURY, MA | |||
FALMOUTH, MA | |||
GLOUCESTER, MA | |||
HAMPTON, NH | |||
HARWICH PORT, MA | |||
NARRAGANSETT/POINT JUDITH, RI | |||
NEW SHOREHAM, RI | |||
NEWBURYPORT, MA | |||
NEWINGTON, NH | |||
OGUNQUIT, ME | |||
OLD SAYBROOK, CT | |||
PLYMOUTH, MA | |||
PROVINCETOWN, MA | |||
SEABROOK, NH | |||
TRURO, MA | |||
WATERFORD, CT | |||
WESTPORT, MA | |||
BOURNE, MA | |||
CLINTON, CT | |||
DENNIS, MA | |||
DUXBURY, MA | |||
FALMOUTH, MA | |||
GLOUCESTER, MA | |||
HAMPTON, NH | |||
HARWICH PORT, MA | |||
NARRAGANSETT/POINT JUDITH, RI | |||
NEW SHOREHAM, RI | |||
NEWBURYPORT, MA | |||
NEWINGTON, NH | |||
OGUNQUIT, ME | |||
OLD SAYBROOK, CT | |||
PLYMOUTH, MA | |||
PROVINCETOWN, MA | |||
SEABROOK, NH | |||
TRURO, MA | |||
WATERFORD, CT | |||
WESTPORT, MA | |||
BOURNE, MA | |||
CLINTON, CT | |||
DENNIS, MA | |||
DUXBURY, MA | |||
FALMOUTH, MA | |||
GLOUCESTER, MA | |||
HAMPTON, NH | |||
HARWICH PORT, MA | |||
NARRAGANSETT/POINT JUDITH, RI | |||
NEW SHOREHAM, RI | |||
NEWBURYPORT, MA | |||
NEWINGTON, NH | |||
OGUNQUIT, ME | |||
OLD SAYBROOK, CT | |||
PLYMOUTH, MA | |||
PROVINCETOWN, MA | |||
SEABROOK, NH | |||
TRURO, MA | |||
WATERFORD, CT | |||
WESTPORT, MA | |||
BOURNE, MA | |||
CLINTON, CT | |||
DENNIS, MA | |||
DUXBURY, MA | |||
FALMOUTH, MA | |||
GLOUCESTER, MA | |||
HAMPTON, NH | |||
HARWICH PORT, MA | |||
NARRAGANSETT/POINT JUDITH, RI | |||
NEW SHOREHAM, RI | |||
NEWBURYPORT, MA | |||
NEWINGTON, NH | |||
OGUNQUIT, ME | |||
OLD SAYBROOK, CT | |||
PLYMOUTH, MA | |||
PROVINCETOWN, MA | |||
SEABROOK, NH | |||
TRURO, MA | |||
WATERFORD, CT | |||
WESTPORT, MA | |||
BOURNE, MA | |||
CLINTON, CT | |||
DENNIS, MA | |||
DUXBURY, MA | |||
FALMOUTH, MA | |||
GLOUCESTER, MA | |||
HAMPTON, NH | |||
HARWICH PORT, MA | |||
NARRAGANSETT/POINT JUDITH, RI | |||
NEW SHOREHAM, RI | |||
NEWBURYPORT, MA | |||
NEWINGTON, NH | |||
OGUNQUIT, ME | |||
OLD SAYBROOK, CT | |||
PLYMOUTH, MA | |||
PROVINCETOWN, MA | |||
SEABROOK, NH | |||
TRURO, MA | |||
WATERFORD, CT | |||
WESTPORT, MA | |||
BOURNE, MA | |||
CLINTON, CT | |||
DENNIS, MA | |||
DUXBURY, MA | |||
FALMOUTH, MA | |||
GLOUCESTER, MA | |||
HAMPTON, NH | |||
HARWICH PORT, MA | |||
NARRAGANSETT/POINT JUDITH, RI | |||
NEW SHOREHAM, RI | |||
NEWBURYPORT, MA | |||
NEWINGTON, NH | |||
OGUNQUIT, ME | |||
OLD SAYBROOK, CT | |||
PLYMOUTH, MA | |||
PROVINCETOWN, MA | |||
SEABROOK, NH | |||
TRURO, MA | |||
WATERFORD, CT | |||
WESTPORT, MA | |||
BOURNE, MA | |||
CLINTON, CT | |||
DENNIS, MA | |||
DUXBURY, MA | |||
FALMOUTH, MA | |||
GLOUCESTER, MA | |||
HAMPTON, NH | |||
HARWICH PORT, MA | |||
NARRAGANSETT/POINT JUDITH, RI | |||
NEW SHOREHAM, RI | |||
NEWBURYPORT, MA | |||
NEWINGTON, NH | |||
OGUNQUIT, ME | |||
OLD SAYBROOK, CT | |||
PLYMOUTH, MA | |||
PROVINCETOWN, MA | |||
SEABROOK, NH | |||
TRURO, MA | |||
WATERFORD, CT | |||
WESTPORT, MA | |||
BOURNE, MA | |||
CLINTON, CT | |||
DENNIS, MA | |||
DUXBURY, MA | |||
FALMOUTH, MA | |||
GLOUCESTER, MA | |||
HAMPTON, NH | |||
HARWICH PORT, MA | |||
NARRAGANSETT/POINT JUDITH, RI | |||
NEW SHOREHAM, RI | |||
NEWBURYPORT, MA | |||
NEWINGTON, NH | |||
OGUNQUIT, ME | |||
OLD SAYBROOK, CT | |||
PLYMOUTH, MA | |||
PROVINCETOWN, MA | |||
SEABROOK, NH | |||
TRURO, MA | |||
WATERFORD, CT | |||
WESTPORT, MA | |||
BOURNE, MA | |||
CLINTON, CT | |||
DENNIS, MA | |||
DUXBURY, MA | |||
FALMOUTH, MA | |||
GLOUCESTER, MA | |||
HAMPTON, NH | |||
HARWICH PORT, MA | |||
NARRAGANSETT/POINT JUDITH, RI | |||
NEW SHOREHAM, RI | |||
NEWBURYPORT, MA | |||
NEWINGTON, NH | |||
OGUNQUIT, ME | |||
OLD SAYBROOK, CT | |||
PLYMOUTH, MA | |||
PROVINCETOWN, MA | |||
SEABROOK, NH | |||
TRURO, MA | |||
WATERFORD, CT | |||
WESTPORT, MA | |||
BOURNE, MA | |||
CLINTON, CT | |||
DENNIS, MA | |||
DUXBURY, MA | |||
FALMOUTH, MA | |||
GLOUCESTER, MA | |||
HAMPTON, NH | |||
HARWICH PORT, MA | |||
NARRAGANSETT/POINT JUDITH, RI | |||
NEW SHOREHAM, RI | |||
NEWBURYPORT, MA | |||
NEWINGTON, NH | |||
OGUNQUIT, ME | |||
OLD SAYBROOK, CT | |||
PLYMOUTH, MA | |||
PROVINCETOWN, MA | |||
SEABROOK, NH | |||
TRURO, MA | |||
WATERFORD, CT | |||
WESTPORT, MA | |||
BOURNE, MA | |||
CLINTON, CT | |||
DENNIS, MA | |||
DUXBURY, MA | |||
FALMOUTH, MA | |||
GLOUCESTER, MA | |||
HAMPTON, NH | |||
HARWICH PORT, MA | |||
NARRAGANSETT/POINT JUDITH, RI | |||
NEW SHOREHAM, RI | |||
NEWBURYPORT, MA | |||
NEWINGTON, NH | |||
OGUNQUIT, ME | |||
OLD SAYBROOK, CT | |||
PLYMOUTH, MA | |||
PROVINCETOWN, MA | |||
SEABROOK, NH | |||
TRURO, MA | |||
WATERFORD, CT | |||
WESTPORT, MA | |||
BOURNE, MA | |||
CLINTON, CT | |||
DENNIS, MA | |||
DUXBURY, MA | |||
FALMOUTH, MA | |||
GLOUCESTER, MA | |||
HAMPTON, NH | |||
HARWICH PORT, MA | |||
NARRAGANSETT/POINT JUDITH, RI | |||
NEW SHOREHAM, RI | |||
NEWBURYPORT, MA | |||
NEWINGTON, NH | |||
OGUNQUIT, ME | |||
OLD SAYBROOK, CT | |||
PLYMOUTH, MA | |||
PROVINCETOWN, MA | |||
SEABROOK, NH | |||
TRURO, MA | |||
WATERFORD, CT | |||
WESTPORT, MA |
Indicators: Harbor porpoise and gray seal bycatch


Implications:
Currently meeting objectives, but uncertainty in gray seal estimates
The downward trend in harbor porpoise bycatch can also be due to a decrease in harbor porpoise abundance in US waters, reducing their overlap with fisheries, and a decrease in gillnet effort.
Gray seal among the highest bycatch of any U.S. marine mammal. The increasing trend in gray seal bycatch may be related to an increase in the gray seal population (U.S. pup counts).
Indicators: North Atlantic right whale population, calf counts


Implications:
Signs the adult population stabilized 2020-2023
Population drivers for North Atlantic Right Whales (NARW) include combined fishery interactions/ship strikes, distribution shifts, and copepod availability.
Additional potential stressors include offshore wind development, which overlaps with important habitat areas used year-round by right whales, including mother and calf migration corridors and foraging habitat.
Unusual mortality events continue for 3 large whale species.

Andrew Applegate (NEFMC)
Kimberly Bastille
Aaron Beaver (Anchor QEA)
Andy Beet
Brandon Beltz
Ruth Boettcher (Virginia Department of Game and Inland Fisheries)
Mandy Bromilow (NOAA Chesapeake Bay Office)
Joseph Caracappa
Samuel Chavez-Rosales
Baoshan Chen (Stony Brook University)
Zhuomin Chen (UConn)
Doug Christel (GARFO)
Patricia Clay
Lisa Colburn
Jennifer Cudney (NMFS Atlantic HMS Management Division)
Tobey Curtis (NMFS Atlantic HMS Management Division)
Art Degaetano (Cornell U)
Geret DePiper
Bart DiFiore (GMRI)
Emily Farr (NMFS Office of Habitat Conservation)
Michael Fogarty
Paula Fratantoni
Kevin Friedland
Marjy Friedrichs (VIMS)
Sarah Gaichas
Ben Galuardi (GAFRO)
Avijit Gangopadhyay (SMAST UMass Dartmouth)
James Gartland (VIMS)
Lori Garzio (Rutgers University)
Glen Gawarkiewicz (WHOI)
Laura Gruenburg
Sean Hardison
Dvora Hart
Cliff Hutt (NMFS Atlantic HMS Management Division)
Kimberly Hyde
John Kocik
Steve Kress (National Audubon Society’s Seabird Restoration Program)
Young-Oh Kwon (Woods Hole Oceanographic Institution)
Scott Large
Gabe Larouche (Cornell U)
Daniel Linden
Andrew Lipsky
Sean Lucey (RWE)
Don Lyons (National Audubon Society’s Seabird Restoration Program)
Chris Melrose
Anna Mercer
Shannon Meseck
Ryan Morse
Ray Mroch (SEFSC)
Brandon Muffley (MAFMC)
Robert Murphy
Kimberly Murray
NEFSC staff
David Moe Nelson (NCCOS)
Chris Orphanides
Richard Pace
Debi Palka
Tom Parham (Maryland DNR)
CJ Pellerin (NOAA Chesapeake Bay Office)
Charles Perretti
Kristin Precoda
Grace Roskar (NMFS Office of Habitat Conservation)
Jeffrey Runge (U Maine)
Grace Saba (Rutgers University)
Vincent Saba
Sarah Salois
Chris Schillaci (GARFO)
Amy Schueller (SEFSC)
Teresa Schwemmer (URI)
Tarsila Seara
Dave Secor (CBL)
Emily Slesinger
Angela Silva
Adrienne Silver (UMass/SMAST)
Talya tenBrink (GARFO)
Abigail Tyrell
Rebecca Van Hoeck
Bruce Vogt (NOAA Chesapeake Bay Office)
Ron Vogel (University of Maryland Cooperative Institute for Satellite Earth System Studies and NOAA/NESDIS Center for Satellite Applications and Research)
John Walden
Harvey Walsh
Sarah Weisberg
Changhua Weng
Dave Wilcox (VIMS)
Timothy White (Environmental Studies Program BOEM)
Sarah Wilkin (NMFS Office of Protected Resources)
Mark Wuenschel
Qian Zhang (U Maryland)

Bastille, K. et al. (2020). “Improving the IEA Approach Using Principles of Open Data Science”. In: Coastal Management 0.0. Publisher: Taylor & Francis _eprint: https://doi.org/10.1080/08920753.2021.1846155, pp. 1-18. ISSN: 0892-0753. DOI: 10.1080/08920753.2021.1846155. URL: https://doi.org/10.1080/08920753.2021.1846155 (visited on Dec. 09, 2020).
DePiper, G. S. et al. (2017). “Operationalizing integrated ecosystem assessments within a multidisciplinary team: lessons learned from a worked example”. En. In: ICES Journal of Marine Science 74.8, pp. 2076-2086. ISSN: 1054-3139. DOI: 10.1093/icesjms/fsx038. URL: https://academic.oup.com/icesjms/article/74/8/2076/3094701 (visited on Mar. 09, 2018).
Muffley, B. et al. (2020). “There Is no I in EAFM Adapting Integrated Ecosystem Assessment for Mid-Atlantic Fisheries Management”. In: Coastal Management 0.0. Publisher: Taylor & Francis _eprint: https://doi.org/10.1080/08920753.2021.1846156, pp. 1-17. ISSN: 0892-0753. DOI: 10.1080/08920753.2021.1846156. URL: https://doi.org/10.1080/08920753.2021.1846156 (visited on Dec. 09, 2020).
Risk categories | Observation indicators reported | Potential driver indicators reported |
|---|---|---|
Climate and Ecosystem Risks | ||
Risks to Managing Spatially | Managed species (fish and cetacean) distribution shifts | Benthic and pelagic forage distribution; ocean temperature, changes in currents and cold pool |
Risks to Managing Seasonally | Managed species spawning and migration timing changes | Habitat timing: Length of ocean summer, cold pool seasonal persistence |
Risks to Setting Catch Limits | Managed species body condition and recruitment changes | Benthic and pelagic forage quality & abundance: ocean temperature & acidification |
Other Ocean Uses Risks | ||
Offshore Wind Risks | Fishery revenue and landings from wind lease areas by species and port | Wind development speed; Protected species presence and hotspots |
Potential Impacts: Spatial misallocation of quotas within and across jurisdictions, leading to unmet quotas and/or increased discards. Specification of gear management areas may not utilize quotas and minimize bycatch.
Potential Impacts: Spawning closures are less effective if peak spawning occurs outside the seasonal closure. Seasonal openings of exemption areas may be inconsistent with species presence. Seasonal quota allocations may be misaligned with availability.
Potential Impacts: Changes in environmental conditions can affect stock reference points and short-term stock projections. When productivity changes are not accounted for, they can lead to misspecified quotas and rebuilding plans.
Fish distribution shifts

Megabenthos distribution shifts

Cetacean distribution shifts

Drivers: Forage shifts, pelagic and benthic


Drivers: shifts in zooplankton – Copepods center of gravity from ECOMON




Drivers: changing ocean habitat



Add things on heatwaves, cold spells, thermal habitat here?
Future considerations
Distribution shifts caused by changes in thermal habitat and ocean circulation are likely to continue as long as long-term trends persist. Episodic and short-term events (see 2024 Highlights) may increase variability in the trends, however species distributions are unlikely to reverse to historical ranges in the short term. Increased mechanistic understanding of distribution drivers is needed to better understand future distribution shifts: species with high mobility or short lifespans react differently from immobile or long lived species.
Long-term oceanographic projections forecast a temporary pause in warming over the next decade due to internal variability in circulation and a southward shift of the Gulf Stream. Near-term forecasts are being evaluated to determine how well they are able to predict episodic and anomalous events that are outside of the long-term patterns.
Adapting management to changing stock distributions and dynamic ocean processes will require continued monitoring of populations in space and evaluating management measures against a range of possible future spatial distributions. Processes like the East Coast Climate Scenario Planning, and subsequent formation of the East Coast Climate Coordination Group, can help coordinate management.

Indicators: spawning timing, migration change

Recreational tuna fisheries 50 days earlier in the year in 2019 compared to 2002.
In Cape Cod Bay, peak spring habitat use by right and humpback whales has shifted 18-19 days later over time.
Baseline information on large whale seasonal presence has been collected.

Drivers: thermal transition, habitat persistence, bloom timing

Cold pool seasonal persistence

Bloom timing

Future considerations
Management actions that rely on effective alignment of fisheries availability and biological processes should continue to evaluate whether prior assumptions on seasonal timings still hold.
New indicators should be developed to monitor timing shifts for stocks.
Drivers: thermal transition, habitat persistence, bloom timing


Future considerations
Management actions that rely on effective alignment of fisheries availability and biological processes should continue to evaluate whether prior assumptions on seasonal timings still hold.
New indicators should be developed to monitor timing shifts for stocks.

Indicators: fishery and community specific revenue in lease areas



Left: Council request: New England ports relying on Mid-Atlantic managed species
Indicators: fishery and community specific revenue in lease areas



Left: Council request: Mid-Atlantic ports relying on New England managed species
Implications:
Current plans for buildout of offshore wind in a patchwork of areas spreads the impacts differentially throughout the region.
Lease areas overlap with North Atlantic right whale habitat. Development may alter local oceanography and prey availability, increase vessel strike risk, and result in pile driving noise impacts.

Indicators: fish productivity and condition


Drivers: Forage Quality and Abundance


New indicators: benthos abundance

Drivers: Low trophic levels


Changes in fish traits


Indicator: Fish productivity
Indicator: Condition
Drivers: Forage Quality and Abundance

New indicators: benthos abundance

Drivers: Low trophic levels


Changes in fish traits


Drivers: Environmental
2024 Thermal habitat area by depth




Drivers: Environmental Potential Ocean Acidification Impacts: Scallops and Longfin squid


Drivers: Predation
Seals increasing, mix of population status for HMS, advection
Future considerations
Processes that control fish productivity and mortality are dynamic, complex, and are the result of the interactions between multiple changing system drivers.
There is a real risk that short-term predictions in assessments and rebuilding plans that assume unchanging underlying conditions will not be as effective, given the observed change documented in the prior sections in both ecological and environmental processes.
Assumptions for species’ growth, reproduction, and natural mortality should continue to be evaluated for individual species.
With observations of system-wide productivity shifts of multiple managed stocks, more research is needed to determine whether regime shifts or ecosystem reorganization are occurring, and how this should be incorporated into management.

Andrew Applegate (NEFMC)
Kimberly Bastille
Aaron Beaver (Anchor QEA)
Andy Beet
Brandon Beltz
Ruth Boettcher (Virginia Department of Game and Inland Fisheries)
Mandy Bromilow (NOAA Chesapeake Bay Office)
Joseph Caracappa
Samuel Chavez-Rosales
Baoshan Chen (Stony Brook University)
Zhuomin Chen (UConn)
Doug Christel (GARFO)
Patricia Clay
Lisa Colburn
Jennifer Cudney (NMFS Atlantic HMS Management Division)
Tobey Curtis (NMFS Atlantic HMS Management Division)
Art Degaetano (Cornell U)
Geret DePiper
Bart DiFiore (GMRI)
Emily Farr (NMFS Office of Habitat Conservation)
Michael Fogarty
Paula Fratantoni
Kevin Friedland
Marjy Friedrichs (VIMS)
Sarah Gaichas
Ben Galuardi (GAFRO)
Avijit Gangopadhyay (SMAST UMass Dartmouth)
James Gartland (VIMS)
Lori Garzio (Rutgers University)
Glen Gawarkiewicz (WHOI)
Laura Gruenburg
Sean Hardison
Dvora Hart
Cliff Hutt (NMFS Atlantic HMS Management Division)
Kimberly Hyde
John Kocik
Steve Kress (National Audubon Society’s Seabird Restoration Program)
Young-Oh Kwon (Woods Hole Oceanographic Institution)
Scott Large
Gabe Larouche (Cornell U)
Daniel Linden
Andrew Lipsky
Sean Lucey (RWE)
Don Lyons (National Audubon Society’s Seabird Restoration Program)
Chris Melrose
Anna Mercer
Shannon Meseck
Ryan Morse
Ray Mroch (SEFSC)
Brandon Muffley (MAFMC)
Robert Murphy
Kimberly Murray
NEFSC staff
David Moe Nelson (NCCOS)
Chris Orphanides
Richard Pace
Debi Palka
Tom Parham (Maryland DNR)
CJ Pellerin (NOAA Chesapeake Bay Office)
Charles Perretti
Kristin Precoda
Grace Roskar (NMFS Office of Habitat Conservation)
Jeffrey Runge (U Maine)
Grace Saba (Rutgers University)
Vincent Saba
Sarah Salois
Chris Schillaci (GARFO)
Amy Schueller (SEFSC)
Teresa Schwemmer (URI)
Tarsila Seara
Dave Secor (CBL)
Emily Slesinger
Angela Silva
Adrienne Silver (UMass/SMAST)
Talya tenBrink (GARFO)
Abigail Tyrell
Rebecca Van Hoeck
Bruce Vogt (NOAA Chesapeake Bay Office)
Ron Vogel (University of Maryland Cooperative Institute for Satellite Earth System Studies and NOAA/NESDIS Center for Satellite Applications and Research)
John Walden
Harvey Walsh
Sarah Weisberg
Changhua Weng
Dave Wilcox (VIMS)
Timothy White (Environmental Studies Program BOEM)
Sarah Wilkin (NMFS Office of Protected Resources)
Mark Wuenschel
Qian Zhang (U Maryland)

Bastille, K. et al. (2020). “Improving the IEA Approach Using Principles of Open Data Science”. In: Coastal Management 0.0. Publisher: Taylor & Francis _eprint: https://doi.org/10.1080/08920753.2021.1846155, pp. 1-18. ISSN: 0892-0753. DOI: 10.1080/08920753.2021.1846155. URL: https://doi.org/10.1080/08920753.2021.1846155 (visited on Dec. 09, 2020).
DePiper, G. S. et al. (2017). “Operationalizing integrated ecosystem assessments within a multidisciplinary team: lessons learned from a worked example”. En. In: ICES Journal of Marine Science 74.8, pp. 2076-2086. ISSN: 1054-3139. DOI: 10.1093/icesjms/fsx038. URL: https://academic.oup.com/icesjms/article/74/8/2076/3094701 (visited on Mar. 09, 2018).
Muffley, B. et al. (2020). “There Is no I in EAFM Adapting Integrated Ecosystem Assessment for Mid-Atlantic Fisheries Management”. In: Coastal Management 0.0. Publisher: Taylor & Francis _eprint: https://doi.org/10.1080/08920753.2021.1846156, pp. 1-17. ISSN: 0892-0753. DOI: 10.1080/08920753.2021.1846156. URL: https://doi.org/10.1080/08920753.2021.1846156 (visited on Dec. 09, 2020).